MLB April 13 Best F5 Odds

Due to two doubleheaders on this Saturday’s schedule, there are 17 games in the MLB today, providing a tonne of betting chances for fans.

First-inning wagers have become very popular because they provide more certainty and less risk. This is because it removes any doubts regarding the performance of the bullpen because you have a better idea of who will start the first few innings.

Here are a few F5 wagers for tonight’s games that our AI-powered projection model loves.

MLB F5 Stakes 

F5 Result: Philadelphia Phillies ML (-166, FanDuel)

In the Spencer Turnbull vs. Marco Gonzales game, it is evident that Turnbull is the pitcher to support early in the season, while Gonzales should be avoided, especially given their impending encounter.

With a 2.45 ERA through two starts, Gonzales has pitched admirably, but further in-depth statistical research indicates alarming signs like a high anticipated ERA (xERA) and batting average against (xBA). These numbers create concerns, particularly in a facility like Citizens Bank facility where bats are encouraged to enter.

Conversely, Turnbull has not given up an earned run this season, with strong strikeout totals and allowing very few hits and walks. His advanced metrics, which show good ranks in important pitching areas, suggest that he is a true talent rather than the product of early chance.

The Phillies should defeat the Pittsburgh Pirates thanks to Turnbull’s performance and the offensive firepower of players like Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper, despite the uncertain state of the Phillies bullpen. According to our forecast, the Phillies have a 69% chance of defeating the Pirates today.

F5 Result: Minnesota Twins ML (-142, FanDuel) 

Compared to their 2023 performance, the Minnesota Twins have not fared well against right-handed pitchers at the start of the 2024 season. Their forthcoming encounter on Saturday against Kenta Maeda, who might be beginning to exhibit the effects of aging, adds still another level of difficulty to their offensive struggles. Maeda has disappointed this season, showing a marked drop from his previous level of play. He used to be luckless, but this year he’s been hit hard, walking and striking out fewer people than usual.

Conversely, Joe Ryan, who has had an outstanding season thus far, will start for the Twins on the mound. Though he has seen some strong contact, the right-hander has been excellent at limiting walks and getting strikeouts.

Joe Ryan appears ready for a successful 2020–21 campaign. After just one walk in his first two starts, he has twelve strikeouts. In addition to having an excellent chase rate, he is permitting more grounders than in the past.

The Twins finished in the top five in wRC+ the previous season, and their hitters, Alex Kirilloff and Carlos Correa, have xwOBAs against righties of over.300. After a rather sluggish start to the season, this looks like a pretty ideal place for the Twins offense to turn things around. The Twins have a 59% chance of winning today against the Detroit Tigers according to our model.

The Daily Lock

F5 Result: New York Mets ML (-158, FanDuel)

Even though the Kansas City Royals have had a better start to the season than the New York Mets, the starting pitching matchups have a major impact on today’s action.

Alec Marsh, a right-handed pitcher, will start for the Royals. Marsh had difficulties in his debut season, finishing with a 3-9 record and a 5.69 ERA in 17 games. Despite his improved 3.09 ERA and 1.03 WHIP this season, several measures point to the possibility that some of his success may be due to luck. In terms of predicted batting average and hard-hit rate, Marsh is below the 42nd percentile, suggesting that his performance may be regressing.

The Mets, on the other hand, will rely on left-hander Sean Manaea. With a 1-0 record and an incredible 0.82 ERA and 0.73 WHIP in his first two starts of the 2024 season, Manaea is off to a fantastic start.

In addition, his April 2023 game against the Royals demonstrated his superiority. Manaea shut down the Royals’ attack in that game, giving up just one run on three hits in six innings while striking out eight batters. The Mets have a 55% chance of winning today against the Royals according to our model.